Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.001848 0.001932 0.002020 0.002118 0.002225 0.002340 0.002473
2025-06-29 0.001691 0.001807 0.001933 0.002081 0.002252 0.002446 0.002685
2025-07-06 0.001589 0.001726 0.001878 0.002065 0.002290 0.002559 0.002911
2025-07-13 0.001475 0.001618 0.001782 0.001987 0.002242 0.002557 0.002989
2025-07-20 0.001417 0.001570 0.001749 0.001979 0.002274 0.002652 0.003197
2025-07-27 0.001379 0.001543 0.001737 0.001993 0.002331 0.002781 0.003467
2025-08-03 0.001334 0.001502 0.001705 0.001978 0.002347 0.002854 0.003664
2025-08-10 0.001307 0.001483 0.001699 0.001994 0.002404 0.002989 0.003975
2025-08-17 0.001272 0.001451 0.001674 0.001983 0.002421 0.003065 0.004201
2025-08-24 0.001236 0.001416 0.001643 0.001961 0.002420 0.003112 0.004384
2025-08-31 0.001227 0.001416 0.001656 0.002000 0.002511 0.003312 0.004887
2025-09-07 0.001209 0.001402 0.001651 0.002013 0.002561 0.003451 0.005308
2025-09-14 0.001179 0.001372 0.001624 0.001992 0.002561 0.003508 0.005580
2025-09-21 0.001147 0.001339 0.001590 0.001962 0.002544 0.003531 0.005785
2025-09-28 0.001123 0.001316 0.001569 0.001949 0.002552 0.003603 0.006130
2025-10-05 0.001081 0.001267 0.001512 0.001879 0.002464 0.003486 0.005958
2025-10-12 0.001062 0.001249 0.001497 0.001872 0.002479 0.003565 0.006339
2025-10-19 0.001051 0.001241 0.001495 0.001885 0.002526 0.003714 0.006978
2025-10-26 0.001032 0.001222 0.001477 0.001871 0.002529 0.003772 0.007370
2025-11-02 0.001023 0.001216 0.001477 0.001886 0.002581 0.003941 0.008228
2025-11-09 0.001007 0.001200 0.001462 0.001876 0.002588 0.004013 0.008785
2025-11-16 0.000989 0.001180 0.001442 0.001856 0.002576 0.004043 0.009191
2025-11-23 0.000988 0.001184 0.001455 0.001892 0.002668 0.004326 0.011024